Metalnewsnet 3 Feb: Shanghai copper gave up early gains and closed slightly lower on Tuesday, the fourth straight loss, in the face of softer prices in London and ahead of key U.S. economic data at the end of the week. London copper had snapped a four-day losing streak on Monday after data showed the U.S. manufacturing sector grew in January at a faster rate than expected, with the index reading at its highest since August 2004. [ID:nN01363414] [ID:nTOE61003S] But worries that January U.S. payroll data on Friday may disappoint and fears of tighter Chinese interest rate policy saw prices down again, albeit modestly. "The data is very strong -- the U.S. ISM numbers were very positive. But overhanging the market is this fear of Chinese tightening," said Ben Westmore, commodities economist at National Australia Bank. "I think the market has priced in too heavily those concerns. Growth remains the primary goal of the People's Bank... and this tinkering with monetary policy will not have a large effect on growth in the next years." Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange CMCU3 dipped $30 to $6,761 a tonne by 0424 GMT, reversing early gains which saw the market top out at $6,840, but prices remain well above the previous session's 2-½ month low of $6,600. Benchmark third-month Shanghai copper SCFc3 fell 100 yuan to 54,280 yuan, while the arbitrage between the two markets narrowed to 278 yuan. "Base metals are set for a mild revival after heavy selling in the past two weeks," ANZ's Mark Pervan said in a note. "We think the risk aversion associated with recent cooling initiatives in China is overdone and participants will be keen to buy on the dip on what is still likely to be a very strong China demand story in 2010." LUNAR EFFECT Traders said the Lunar New Year, which starts Feb. 14 and will keep Chinese markets shut for a week, has led investors to scale back bets on the market. Open interest across Shanghai copper plateaued at around 386,000 lots between Jan. 22 and Jan. 29, its highest since August, but has since fallen to 362,000 lots. For a graphic showing Shanghai copper open interest, click: here "It's not surprising (open interest) is down. We've been out of the market since the middle of last week. It's just too volatile," a trader in Shanghai said. "After the new year, we should get a clearer picture of what's happening and the rest of the world will have had time to make a call on China rate policy, then we'll get in again. Right now it's too risky." In other metals, nickel CMNI3 fell $10 to $17,990. Nickel, down 2.9 percent so far this year is the complex's strongest performer, but support from industrial action in Canada may now fade with the aversion of a strike at a large Canadian nickel operation. Anglo-Swiss miner Xstrata Plc (XTA.L: Quote, Profile, Research) reached a tentative deal with unionised workers at its Canadian nickel mining operations in Sudbury, Ontario, on Monday, averting a strike that would have all but shut down base metals production in the Sudbury region. [ID:nN01179992] The agreement was reached in the shadow of a strike by more than 3,000 workers at Brazilian miner Vale's (VALE5.SA: Quote, Profile, Research) Sudbury nickel and copper operations, and smaller strikes at Vale's Voisey's Bay mine in Eastern Canada and at its Port Colborne, Ontario, processing operations. The Vale Sudbury strike is now in its seventh month, with no signs that bargaining will restart any time soon. Some analysts have speculated a deal at Xstrata could spur Vale and the United Steelworkers union to restart talks. [ID:nN01179992] Base metals prices at 0724 GMT Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2009 YTD pct chg LME Cu 6761.00 -30.00 -0.44 7375.00 -8.33 SHFE Cu* 54280.00 -100.00 -0.18 59900.00 -9.38 LME Alum 2090.00 5.00 +0.24 2230.00 -6.28 SHFE Alum* 16215.00 25.00 +0.15 17160.00 -5.51 COMEX Cu** 307.85 3.25 +1.07 332.75 -7.48 LME Zinc 2115.50 -29.50 -1.38 2560.00 -17.36 SHFE Zinc 17155.00 -85.00 -0.49 21195.00 -19.06 LME Nickel 17990.00 -10.00 -0.06 18525.00 -2.89 LME Lead 2052.00 7.00 +0.34 2432.00 -15.63 LME Tin 16200.00 50.00 +0.31 16950.00 -4.42 LME/Shanghai arb^ -278 Dollar/yuan 6.8267 \ 6.8277 ** 1st contract month for COMEX copper * 3rd contact month for SHFE aluminium, copper and zinc ^ LME 3-m copper in yuan, including 17 pct VAT, minus SHFE third month (Editing by Ed Lane) (From Reuters) - |